Mass Capitulation in the Crypto Market: What’s Happening with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and What Comes Next?

14.04.2025

Deep Dive: Bitcoin Falls Below $55,000

Bitcoin plunged under the critical $55,000 support level — the first time since February 2024. This triggered a massive wave of long position liquidations in the futures market — more than $270 million in longs were wiped out in just a few days.

Key reasons behind the crash:

  • Mt. Gox Bitcoin distributions are starting soon — up to 140,000 BTC (~$9 billion) expected to hit the market.

  • The German government transferred seized BTC (~50,000 coins) to exchanges, spooking investors.

  • ETF outflows indicate growing investor skepticism.

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Ethereum Drops as Well — ETFs Can’t Save It Yet

Ethereum tumbled from $3,500 to around $2,800, following Bitcoin’s lead. Despite anticipation around Ethereum spot ETFs, the market hasn’t responded positively.

ETF Status:

  • The SEC has approved Ethereum ETF filings, but final decisions have been delayed again.

  • A launch is expected in July 2025, but confidence is waning.

  • Galaxy Digital believes the ETF effect is already priced in, and investor demand might be soft.

Miner Capitulation: Revenues Plummet, Selling Pressure Rises

Since the April 2025 halving, Bitcoin miners have seen their daily revenue drop by over 60%. This has forced many to sell their BTC reserves to cover operational costs. Glassnode reports over 4,000 BTC were offloaded in a single week.

Additional pressures:

  • Hashrate has declined by 7% — some miners are shutting down rigs.

  • Analysts compare this to late 2022 — which preceded a 300% rally — but caution short-term pain may continue.

Liquidations and Panic: Fear Rules the Market

As prices fall, liquidations mount:

  • Over $300 million in long positions in BTC, ETH, and SOL have been liquidated in three days.

  • The Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 25 — deep fear territory.

  • Major ETF providers like Grayscale, BlackRock, and Fidelity have seen over $100 million in outflows in a matter of days.

Forecast: Where Does the Market Go From Here?

Bullish Case

  • Ethereum ETF launches could restore confidence.

  • Hashrate may stabilize, with miners resuming accumulation.

  • Technical rebound from $50,000 (BTC) and $2,700 (ETH) could materialize in July.

Bearish Case

  • More Bitcoin flooding the market from Mt. Gox and government wallets.

  • SEC delays or weak demand for ETH ETFs.

  • Breaking below $50,000 may open the door to a $42,000–$45,000 range for BTC.

The signs of capitulation are growing. For long-term believers in blockchain fundamentals, this might be a buy-the-dip opportunity. However, risk remains elevated.

Traders should stay cautious, use proper risk management, and expect volatility to continue. The crypto market isn’t done moving — and picking the right side now might be more critical than ever.

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