Key Market Signals: Kiyosaki’s Warnings, Liquidity Shifts, Institutional Moves, and Security Alerts

19.04.2025

Crypto and financial markets are buffeted by a mix of long‑term forecasts and urgent security alerts. Let’s unpack the ten most crucial developments shaping traders’ strategies today.

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Robert Kiyosaki on the “Great Depression” and Long‑Term Targets

Robert Kiyosaki warns that a new financial crisis is already underway:

  • Record‑high credit‑card debt, soaring U.S. national debt, and rising unemployment.

  • He reiterates his long‑standing “Great Depression” forecast and advises investing in gold, silver, and Bitcoin.

  • 20235 price targets: Bitcoin – $1 000 000; Gold – $30 000; Silver – $3 000.

  • Core message: Don’t freeze in fear – act now to build wealth during the downturn.

U.S. Reverse Repo Drawdown and Potential QE

The U.S. reverse repo facility has shrunk to 2021 levels, signaling:

  • Lower demand for this short‑term liquidity instrument.

  • A possible pivot toward monetary easing and renewed money printing to support markets and the economy.

Glassnode on Bitcoin Holders: Sell‑Off vs. Accumulation

Glassnode data show:

  • Short‑term holders of BTC are recording losses—typical early in a bear cycle.

  • Long‑term investors remain profitable, but as more newcomers age into “long‑term” status, the risk of them selling increases.

  • Historically, such holder‑type transitions have foreshadowed deeper corrections.

Lyn Alden: BTC Correlation with M2 Money Supply

Lyn Alden projects Bitcoin’s rise based on an 83% correlation with global M2 money supply over the past 12 months.

  • Key driver: massive liquidity injections via potential Fed quantitative easing.

  • Any new rounds of easing could accelerate Bitcoin’s next rally.

Ripple Secures FINRA Broker‑Dealer License

Having acquired Hidden Road for $1.25 billion, Ripple has now gained FINRA authorization to operate as a broker‑dealer.

  • Expands prime brokerage services for debt markets.

  • Opens institutional‑grade financial products under SEC oversight.

Galaxy Digital’s SOL Staking Surge

Over four days, Galaxy Digital withdrew 606,000 SOL ($79.7 million) from exchanges and staked 462,000 SOL ($60 million).

  • Reduces exchange liquidity for SOL.

  • Boosts staking yield and strengthens validator commitments.

Canary Capital’s Tron ETF Filing

Canary Capital has filed with the SEC to launch a TRX ETF with staking features.

  • Part of its series of crypto‑ETF applications including XRP, Solana, Sui, and Pudgy Penguins.

  • Indicates growing institutional demand for staking‑enabled altcoin products.

Aptos Community Debates Staking Rewards Cut

A proposal on Aptos would slash staking rewards from 7% to 3.79% over three months:

  • Proponents argue lower yields will free capital for riskier, higher‑return ecosystem projects.

  • Opponents fear weakened decentralization, as small validators may exit.

Crypto Security: Two High‑Profile Incidents

  1. Shibai Trojan infiltrated Samsung and Huawei phones in China, stealing $1.6 million in crypto.

  2. Coinspect discovered critical vulnerabilities in Stellar Freighter, Frontier Wallet, and Coin98—allowing stealth asset theft via Background Script and API manipulation. Patches have since been deployed.

Political & Corporate Market Cues

  • Donald Trump: “We’re having good talks with China.”

  • NEC Director Lael Brainard (Hassett): promises trade‑policy activity next week.

  • Ford Motor Co.: halts shipments to China to avoid tariffs.

News

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Bitcoin Enters Price Discovery as Whale Trades and Macro Signals Roar

Bitcoin hits new all-time highs eyeing $116K–$148K levels, a 40× whale long nets $40M, Fed’s $50B self-buy sparks hyperinflation warnings, and analysts see BTC at $120K+ soon.

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Whale Opens $830 M 40× BTC Long; Hayes & Novogratz Issue Bold Crypto Forecasts; Key Legislative and Tech Updates

A BTC whale takes a $830 M 40× long, Bitcoin logs six consecutive green weeks, the GENIUS Act advances in the Senate, and Arthur Hayes predicts ETH at $10K–$15K as Solana’s Alpenglow upgrade nears.

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GENIUS Act Advances in Senate as Crypto Markets Rally on Regulatory Clarity and Network Milestones

The GENIUS Act moves to full Senate debate ahead of Memorial Day, while Bitcoin and altcoins benefit from reduced exchange reserves, protocol upgrades, and bullish forecasts from industry leaders.

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Bitcoin Closes at $106,500, Dollar Falls After Moody’s Downgrade, and Hayes & Novogratz Forecast Crypto’s Next Moves

Bitcoin hit a record weekly close of $106,500; the dollar slid to 100.85 after Moody’s downgrade; Arthur Hayes forecasts a summer altseason and $250K BTC, Michael Novogratz sees a $22 trillion crypto market.

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Key Crypto and Market Updates: Arrests, Network Milestones, and DeFi Developments

Ex-Binance exec arrested for $15M fraud; Avalanche hits 1.95M active addresses; over 1M ETH withdrawn from exchanges; Fusaka devnet on May 26; MetaMask adds Solana; consumer sentiment at 43-year low.

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Equities and Crypto Near Record Highs Amid U.S.–China Tariff Truce and Emerging Altcoin Rally

After a 90-day U.S.–China tariff pause, S&P 500 is 3.27% from its high, BTC 5.33%, gold 9.79%. Altcoins added $126 B in Q2, ETH whales hoarded 450 K ETH, key BTC levels at $98 131/116 900.

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