Crypto & Markets Update: Trade Truce, Institutional Reserves, and Emerging Strategies

13.05.2025

Following productive U.S.–China consultations in Switzerland—where both nations cut tariffs for 90 days—crypto markets are buoyed toward new highs. Bitcoin stands just 5.1% below its $109,350 peak, with analysts eyeing $115K–140K based on fractal models and U.S. inflation data. Meanwhile, institutional players—from JPMorgan to Amber International—are building sizable crypto reserves, protocols tighten security measures, and leading voices propose next-generation blockchain innovations.

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U.S.–China Tariff Truce Fuels Risk Assets

Tariff Reductions: China will cut U.S. duties from 125% to 10%, while the U.S. trims Chinese duties from 145% to 30% for 90 days. Both sides will enact changes by May 14.
Market Implications: Eased trade tensions inject liquidity, reduce inflationary concerns, and lift risk-on sentiment across equities and crypto.

Bitcoin Eyes New Highs on Inflation Data and Fractal Cycles

Close to ATH: At $103,800, Bitcoin trades 5.1% below its $109,350 all-time high.
CPI Catalyst: If U.S. April inflation falls to 2.3% from 2.4%, 10x Research projects a new BTC record above $109K, with consolidation between $105K–115K before a breakout.
Fractal Forecasts: Fractal models predict Bitcoin’s cycle peaking around October 12–16, potentially propelling prices toward $140K+.

Institutional Reserves & Funding Commitments

GD Culture Group: Secured up to $300 million to build a long-term reserve of Bitcoin and Trump-branded tokens.
Amber International: Launched a $100 million AI-powered Crypto Ecosystem Reserve backing BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, SUI, and XRP.
Nakamoto & KindlyMD Merger: Raised $710 million for a Bitcoin treasury strategy, sending KDLY shares up 634% pre-market.
JPMorgan’s ETF Stake: Increased its BlackRock Bitcoin ETF holdings to $1.7 billion.
Abraxas Capital: Withdrew 240 million USDT from Aave (likely for ETH purchases) and already moved to Binance.

DeFi Deployments & Protocol Governance

WLFI DeFi Activity: World Liberty Financial launched Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade, then deposited 50 WBTC into Aave, borrowed $4 million USDC, and acquired 1,590 WETH.
Lido DAO Emergency Vote: Replaced the compromised Chorus One oracle without disrupting the broader staking system.
Berachain PoL v1.1: Rolled out optimized liquidity incentives, fee reallocations, and lower participation thresholds to boost ecosystem growth.
Curve & Radiant DAO Alerts: Curve warned of a potential DNS hack, while Radiant DAO proposed compensation for victims of an unlimited-allowance exploit.

Leadership Changes & Industry Appointments

DeGods CEO Exit: Frank steps down, handing leadership to his co-founders.
Aptos Co-founder’s Stake: Mo Shaikh still holds 98% of APT tokens and significant SUI, continuing as a strategic advisor.
Goldman’s Fed Forecast: Now expects the Fed’s first rate cut in December rather than July.
Animoca Brands IPO Plans: Preparing for a New York listing later this year.

Policy, Regulation & Geopolitics

SEC Tokenization Speech: Paul Atkins to keynote “Where TradFi Meets DeFi” on May 12.
Coinbase S&P 500 Entry: Coinbase will replace Discover Financial, marking broader crypto mainstreaming.
Mayor Adams on Crypto: New York’s mayor pledges long-term value creation via blockchain at the May 20 Crypto Summit.
South Korea Election: Both leading presidential candidates support spot crypto ETFs ahead of June 3 vote.
Trump’s Drug Price Cuts: Executive order to slash U.S. prescription drug prices 30–80% could ease CPI pressures.

CONCLUSION

The 90-day U.S.–China tariff truce has set risk assets alight, driving Bitcoin nearer to all-time highs and underpinning a wave of institutional reserve building. As major protocols shore up security and deploy liquidity incentives, and as thought leaders map out fractal price cycles and new blockchain paradigms, investors must stay agile—monitoring trade implementations, inflation data, and key governance votes—to capitalize on this bullish momentum.

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